A+ · HIGH conviction · RUNNER · 2026-08-14
39.23Entry reference
45.11Model target
120.0Max hold (days)
25.0%Model allocation
Spivey Jeremy Simmons · CEO, CFO, COO, Dir
Six unique insiders including the combined CEO/CFO/COO clustered ~$8.2M of open-market buys on Aug 14, all brand-new stakes (ΔOwn 999), right into a 43% drawdown with RSI 27 and price only 2% above the insider price. Q2 revenue rose 114% YoY with backlog up 35% to $866M and raised FY26 guidance to $880-900M, so this is fundamentally-backed capitulation buying, not a falling knife. Target +15% to ~$45.11, with plenty of room toward the $57 MA20 reversion and no stop-loss — hold the runner.
Watch: Below MA20 and MA50 after a sharp selloff; not yet profitable with negative FCF; single-source aggregator.